Software house: da stime commerciali sbagliate del 50% a preventivi rispettati nel 100% dei casi con margine operativo al 40%.

Estimates off by 50%, almost always too low. Then met in 100% of cases.

A software house building custom software systematically got its quotes wrong. A project quoted at 20,000 euro cost 30,000 in actual development. The margin, in the rare cases where the estimate was on target, did not exceed 10%. The problem wasn’t the quality of the software — it was the way requirements were gathered.

  1. 01 / 04

    The situation

    • Estimate error margin of ~50%, almost always too low
    • Operating margin at ~10% only in the best cases — often a loss on projects
    • Requirements gathered in narrative form, hard to turn into precise estimates
    • Initial analysis of each project: days or weeks of work
  2. 02 / 04

    Structured requirements gathering

    • A single 3-4 hour meeting to cover the whole functional scope required
    • Requirements gathered independently of the implementation — already in the right form to produce precise estimates
  3. 03 / 04

    Incremental development with progressive approvals

    • Components released to the customer progressively, with approval at every step
    • Almost complete elimination of the risk of diverging interpretations once work is well under way
  4. 04 / 04

    BDD + AI for automated tests

    • Functional requirements translated by AI into the expected behaviours of the software
    • Executable tests generated automatically — code produced reduced by 70%: the team developed exactly what was needed

The results

  • 100%estimates met (from a ~50% systematic error)
  • 10% → 40%average operating margin
  • +30%revenue in the year — with one person fewer on the team